Why should a self-financing strategy be previsible?Why is there no “meta-model”?Liquidity detection based strategy in HFThow to measure a event driven strategy?Do you think this strategy will work?Writing an Options Strategy BacktesterOption Strategy: Python Implementation AdviceStrategy for implied volatilityStrategy if dividend is lower than expected

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Why should a self-financing strategy be previsible?


Why is there no “meta-model”?Liquidity detection based strategy in HFThow to measure a event driven strategy?Do you think this strategy will work?Writing an Options Strategy BacktesterOption Strategy: Python Implementation AdviceStrategy for implied volatilityStrategy if dividend is lower than expected






.everyoneloves__top-leaderboard:empty,.everyoneloves__mid-leaderboard:empty,.everyoneloves__bot-mid-leaderboard:empty margin-bottom:0;








3












$begingroup$


There is an amazing answer on mathematics stackexchange which defines what a self-financing strategy is—both in the discrete and continuous sense. Please check out this short answer to better understand my question.



I have a short follow-up question: Baxter and Rennie—while defining a self-financing strategy—requires the portfolio process to be previsible. The way the answer in the link arrives at the definition of self-financing, which is also the way I derive it, doesn't seem to require previsiblilty.



We are holding $(Delta_t, E_t)$ over $t$ to $t+1$, which will be know to us at time $t$, even if the process is just adapted; previsiblilty is not required to know $(Delta_t, E_t)$ at time $t$.



Extra for those who are interested:
As always, things get muddier in the continuous time setting.



I think I have an intuition for what previsibility means when dealing with continuous processes: if a process $phi$ is left-continuous, then we can know it's value $phi(t)$ at a particular time $t$ with arbitrary precision by pushing the inputs close enough to $t$ from below, without actually having to reach $t$; this makes the value of $phi(t)$ predictable with information upto but not including time $t$.



But it isn't clear to me why this previsibility is required while arriving at a sensible definition of a self-financing strategy —as the answer in the link succeeds to do.










share|improve this question











$endgroup$




















    3












    $begingroup$


    There is an amazing answer on mathematics stackexchange which defines what a self-financing strategy is—both in the discrete and continuous sense. Please check out this short answer to better understand my question.



    I have a short follow-up question: Baxter and Rennie—while defining a self-financing strategy—requires the portfolio process to be previsible. The way the answer in the link arrives at the definition of self-financing, which is also the way I derive it, doesn't seem to require previsiblilty.



    We are holding $(Delta_t, E_t)$ over $t$ to $t+1$, which will be know to us at time $t$, even if the process is just adapted; previsiblilty is not required to know $(Delta_t, E_t)$ at time $t$.



    Extra for those who are interested:
    As always, things get muddier in the continuous time setting.



    I think I have an intuition for what previsibility means when dealing with continuous processes: if a process $phi$ is left-continuous, then we can know it's value $phi(t)$ at a particular time $t$ with arbitrary precision by pushing the inputs close enough to $t$ from below, without actually having to reach $t$; this makes the value of $phi(t)$ predictable with information upto but not including time $t$.



    But it isn't clear to me why this previsibility is required while arriving at a sensible definition of a self-financing strategy —as the answer in the link succeeds to do.










    share|improve this question











    $endgroup$
















      3












      3








      3





      $begingroup$


      There is an amazing answer on mathematics stackexchange which defines what a self-financing strategy is—both in the discrete and continuous sense. Please check out this short answer to better understand my question.



      I have a short follow-up question: Baxter and Rennie—while defining a self-financing strategy—requires the portfolio process to be previsible. The way the answer in the link arrives at the definition of self-financing, which is also the way I derive it, doesn't seem to require previsiblilty.



      We are holding $(Delta_t, E_t)$ over $t$ to $t+1$, which will be know to us at time $t$, even if the process is just adapted; previsiblilty is not required to know $(Delta_t, E_t)$ at time $t$.



      Extra for those who are interested:
      As always, things get muddier in the continuous time setting.



      I think I have an intuition for what previsibility means when dealing with continuous processes: if a process $phi$ is left-continuous, then we can know it's value $phi(t)$ at a particular time $t$ with arbitrary precision by pushing the inputs close enough to $t$ from below, without actually having to reach $t$; this makes the value of $phi(t)$ predictable with information upto but not including time $t$.



      But it isn't clear to me why this previsibility is required while arriving at a sensible definition of a self-financing strategy —as the answer in the link succeeds to do.










      share|improve this question











      $endgroup$




      There is an amazing answer on mathematics stackexchange which defines what a self-financing strategy is—both in the discrete and continuous sense. Please check out this short answer to better understand my question.



      I have a short follow-up question: Baxter and Rennie—while defining a self-financing strategy—requires the portfolio process to be previsible. The way the answer in the link arrives at the definition of self-financing, which is also the way I derive it, doesn't seem to require previsiblilty.



      We are holding $(Delta_t, E_t)$ over $t$ to $t+1$, which will be know to us at time $t$, even if the process is just adapted; previsiblilty is not required to know $(Delta_t, E_t)$ at time $t$.



      Extra for those who are interested:
      As always, things get muddier in the continuous time setting.



      I think I have an intuition for what previsibility means when dealing with continuous processes: if a process $phi$ is left-continuous, then we can know it's value $phi(t)$ at a particular time $t$ with arbitrary precision by pushing the inputs close enough to $t$ from below, without actually having to reach $t$; this makes the value of $phi(t)$ predictable with information upto but not including time $t$.



      But it isn't clear to me why this previsibility is required while arriving at a sensible definition of a self-financing strategy —as the answer in the link succeeds to do.







      strategy






      share|improve this question















      share|improve this question













      share|improve this question




      share|improve this question








      edited 3 hours ago







      Dhruv Gupta

















      asked 8 hours ago









      Dhruv GuptaDhruv Gupta

      1166 bronze badges




      1166 bronze badges























          1 Answer
          1






          active

          oldest

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          2













          $begingroup$

          A self-financing strategy needs to be previsible (aka predictable) since at time $t$, you need to decide (with the information from $mathcalF_t$) how much you want to be invested in the different assets at time $t+1$. So, you need to decide in advance which makes the trading strategy predictable.



          Of course, the asset prices (and hence the value process of your strategy) remain adapted and are not previsible.






          share|improve this answer









          $endgroup$














          • $begingroup$
            I do understand the basic argument: we need to know at time $t$ itself what needs to be held over the next time-tick; if we don't know that, we simply won't be able to execute our strategy in time. My question is based on the technical definition of previsibility and how it applies to the notation in the answer I have linked. If the portfolio held over $t$ to $t+1$ is $(Delta_t, E_t)$, then we only DO NOT require $Delta$ and $E$ to be previsible - we just need them to be adapted so that we know their values at $t$, which can be held over $t$ to $t+1$.
            $endgroup$
            – Dhruv Gupta
            4 hours ago











          • $begingroup$
            We could change the notation slightly, and use $(Delta_t+1, E_t+1)$ to denote the portfolio held over $t$ to $t+1$. If we do this, we would indeed require both processes to be previsible; but the concept of previsibility being dependent on notation would mean that it's not a 'universal' requirement—we could just stick to the notation under which the process is adapted and not previsible.
            $endgroup$
            – Dhruv Gupta
            3 hours ago











          • $begingroup$
            It is not only a notational but also conceptional necessity that you have predictability. In the notation of the answer you have linked, the OP said that the portfolio with payoff $Delta_1S_1+E_1B_1$ needs to be purchasable at time zero, i.e. $Delta_1$ and $E_1$ need to be known at time zero, i.e. $(Delta_t)$ and $(E_t)$ are previsible. Of course, you can change notation but it does not alter the concept that you need to know one period in advance what your position in the stock/bond/etc. is.
            $endgroup$
            – KeSchn
            55 secs ago













          Your Answer








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          active

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          2













          $begingroup$

          A self-financing strategy needs to be previsible (aka predictable) since at time $t$, you need to decide (with the information from $mathcalF_t$) how much you want to be invested in the different assets at time $t+1$. So, you need to decide in advance which makes the trading strategy predictable.



          Of course, the asset prices (and hence the value process of your strategy) remain adapted and are not previsible.






          share|improve this answer









          $endgroup$














          • $begingroup$
            I do understand the basic argument: we need to know at time $t$ itself what needs to be held over the next time-tick; if we don't know that, we simply won't be able to execute our strategy in time. My question is based on the technical definition of previsibility and how it applies to the notation in the answer I have linked. If the portfolio held over $t$ to $t+1$ is $(Delta_t, E_t)$, then we only DO NOT require $Delta$ and $E$ to be previsible - we just need them to be adapted so that we know their values at $t$, which can be held over $t$ to $t+1$.
            $endgroup$
            – Dhruv Gupta
            4 hours ago











          • $begingroup$
            We could change the notation slightly, and use $(Delta_t+1, E_t+1)$ to denote the portfolio held over $t$ to $t+1$. If we do this, we would indeed require both processes to be previsible; but the concept of previsibility being dependent on notation would mean that it's not a 'universal' requirement—we could just stick to the notation under which the process is adapted and not previsible.
            $endgroup$
            – Dhruv Gupta
            3 hours ago











          • $begingroup$
            It is not only a notational but also conceptional necessity that you have predictability. In the notation of the answer you have linked, the OP said that the portfolio with payoff $Delta_1S_1+E_1B_1$ needs to be purchasable at time zero, i.e. $Delta_1$ and $E_1$ need to be known at time zero, i.e. $(Delta_t)$ and $(E_t)$ are previsible. Of course, you can change notation but it does not alter the concept that you need to know one period in advance what your position in the stock/bond/etc. is.
            $endgroup$
            – KeSchn
            55 secs ago















          2













          $begingroup$

          A self-financing strategy needs to be previsible (aka predictable) since at time $t$, you need to decide (with the information from $mathcalF_t$) how much you want to be invested in the different assets at time $t+1$. So, you need to decide in advance which makes the trading strategy predictable.



          Of course, the asset prices (and hence the value process of your strategy) remain adapted and are not previsible.






          share|improve this answer









          $endgroup$














          • $begingroup$
            I do understand the basic argument: we need to know at time $t$ itself what needs to be held over the next time-tick; if we don't know that, we simply won't be able to execute our strategy in time. My question is based on the technical definition of previsibility and how it applies to the notation in the answer I have linked. If the portfolio held over $t$ to $t+1$ is $(Delta_t, E_t)$, then we only DO NOT require $Delta$ and $E$ to be previsible - we just need them to be adapted so that we know their values at $t$, which can be held over $t$ to $t+1$.
            $endgroup$
            – Dhruv Gupta
            4 hours ago











          • $begingroup$
            We could change the notation slightly, and use $(Delta_t+1, E_t+1)$ to denote the portfolio held over $t$ to $t+1$. If we do this, we would indeed require both processes to be previsible; but the concept of previsibility being dependent on notation would mean that it's not a 'universal' requirement—we could just stick to the notation under which the process is adapted and not previsible.
            $endgroup$
            – Dhruv Gupta
            3 hours ago











          • $begingroup$
            It is not only a notational but also conceptional necessity that you have predictability. In the notation of the answer you have linked, the OP said that the portfolio with payoff $Delta_1S_1+E_1B_1$ needs to be purchasable at time zero, i.e. $Delta_1$ and $E_1$ need to be known at time zero, i.e. $(Delta_t)$ and $(E_t)$ are previsible. Of course, you can change notation but it does not alter the concept that you need to know one period in advance what your position in the stock/bond/etc. is.
            $endgroup$
            – KeSchn
            55 secs ago













          2














          2










          2







          $begingroup$

          A self-financing strategy needs to be previsible (aka predictable) since at time $t$, you need to decide (with the information from $mathcalF_t$) how much you want to be invested in the different assets at time $t+1$. So, you need to decide in advance which makes the trading strategy predictable.



          Of course, the asset prices (and hence the value process of your strategy) remain adapted and are not previsible.






          share|improve this answer









          $endgroup$



          A self-financing strategy needs to be previsible (aka predictable) since at time $t$, you need to decide (with the information from $mathcalF_t$) how much you want to be invested in the different assets at time $t+1$. So, you need to decide in advance which makes the trading strategy predictable.



          Of course, the asset prices (and hence the value process of your strategy) remain adapted and are not previsible.







          share|improve this answer












          share|improve this answer



          share|improve this answer










          answered 5 hours ago









          KeSchnKeSchn

          1,1501 silver badge13 bronze badges




          1,1501 silver badge13 bronze badges














          • $begingroup$
            I do understand the basic argument: we need to know at time $t$ itself what needs to be held over the next time-tick; if we don't know that, we simply won't be able to execute our strategy in time. My question is based on the technical definition of previsibility and how it applies to the notation in the answer I have linked. If the portfolio held over $t$ to $t+1$ is $(Delta_t, E_t)$, then we only DO NOT require $Delta$ and $E$ to be previsible - we just need them to be adapted so that we know their values at $t$, which can be held over $t$ to $t+1$.
            $endgroup$
            – Dhruv Gupta
            4 hours ago











          • $begingroup$
            We could change the notation slightly, and use $(Delta_t+1, E_t+1)$ to denote the portfolio held over $t$ to $t+1$. If we do this, we would indeed require both processes to be previsible; but the concept of previsibility being dependent on notation would mean that it's not a 'universal' requirement—we could just stick to the notation under which the process is adapted and not previsible.
            $endgroup$
            – Dhruv Gupta
            3 hours ago











          • $begingroup$
            It is not only a notational but also conceptional necessity that you have predictability. In the notation of the answer you have linked, the OP said that the portfolio with payoff $Delta_1S_1+E_1B_1$ needs to be purchasable at time zero, i.e. $Delta_1$ and $E_1$ need to be known at time zero, i.e. $(Delta_t)$ and $(E_t)$ are previsible. Of course, you can change notation but it does not alter the concept that you need to know one period in advance what your position in the stock/bond/etc. is.
            $endgroup$
            – KeSchn
            55 secs ago
















          • $begingroup$
            I do understand the basic argument: we need to know at time $t$ itself what needs to be held over the next time-tick; if we don't know that, we simply won't be able to execute our strategy in time. My question is based on the technical definition of previsibility and how it applies to the notation in the answer I have linked. If the portfolio held over $t$ to $t+1$ is $(Delta_t, E_t)$, then we only DO NOT require $Delta$ and $E$ to be previsible - we just need them to be adapted so that we know their values at $t$, which can be held over $t$ to $t+1$.
            $endgroup$
            – Dhruv Gupta
            4 hours ago











          • $begingroup$
            We could change the notation slightly, and use $(Delta_t+1, E_t+1)$ to denote the portfolio held over $t$ to $t+1$. If we do this, we would indeed require both processes to be previsible; but the concept of previsibility being dependent on notation would mean that it's not a 'universal' requirement—we could just stick to the notation under which the process is adapted and not previsible.
            $endgroup$
            – Dhruv Gupta
            3 hours ago











          • $begingroup$
            It is not only a notational but also conceptional necessity that you have predictability. In the notation of the answer you have linked, the OP said that the portfolio with payoff $Delta_1S_1+E_1B_1$ needs to be purchasable at time zero, i.e. $Delta_1$ and $E_1$ need to be known at time zero, i.e. $(Delta_t)$ and $(E_t)$ are previsible. Of course, you can change notation but it does not alter the concept that you need to know one period in advance what your position in the stock/bond/etc. is.
            $endgroup$
            – KeSchn
            55 secs ago















          $begingroup$
          I do understand the basic argument: we need to know at time $t$ itself what needs to be held over the next time-tick; if we don't know that, we simply won't be able to execute our strategy in time. My question is based on the technical definition of previsibility and how it applies to the notation in the answer I have linked. If the portfolio held over $t$ to $t+1$ is $(Delta_t, E_t)$, then we only DO NOT require $Delta$ and $E$ to be previsible - we just need them to be adapted so that we know their values at $t$, which can be held over $t$ to $t+1$.
          $endgroup$
          – Dhruv Gupta
          4 hours ago





          $begingroup$
          I do understand the basic argument: we need to know at time $t$ itself what needs to be held over the next time-tick; if we don't know that, we simply won't be able to execute our strategy in time. My question is based on the technical definition of previsibility and how it applies to the notation in the answer I have linked. If the portfolio held over $t$ to $t+1$ is $(Delta_t, E_t)$, then we only DO NOT require $Delta$ and $E$ to be previsible - we just need them to be adapted so that we know their values at $t$, which can be held over $t$ to $t+1$.
          $endgroup$
          – Dhruv Gupta
          4 hours ago













          $begingroup$
          We could change the notation slightly, and use $(Delta_t+1, E_t+1)$ to denote the portfolio held over $t$ to $t+1$. If we do this, we would indeed require both processes to be previsible; but the concept of previsibility being dependent on notation would mean that it's not a 'universal' requirement—we could just stick to the notation under which the process is adapted and not previsible.
          $endgroup$
          – Dhruv Gupta
          3 hours ago





          $begingroup$
          We could change the notation slightly, and use $(Delta_t+1, E_t+1)$ to denote the portfolio held over $t$ to $t+1$. If we do this, we would indeed require both processes to be previsible; but the concept of previsibility being dependent on notation would mean that it's not a 'universal' requirement—we could just stick to the notation under which the process is adapted and not previsible.
          $endgroup$
          – Dhruv Gupta
          3 hours ago













          $begingroup$
          It is not only a notational but also conceptional necessity that you have predictability. In the notation of the answer you have linked, the OP said that the portfolio with payoff $Delta_1S_1+E_1B_1$ needs to be purchasable at time zero, i.e. $Delta_1$ and $E_1$ need to be known at time zero, i.e. $(Delta_t)$ and $(E_t)$ are previsible. Of course, you can change notation but it does not alter the concept that you need to know one period in advance what your position in the stock/bond/etc. is.
          $endgroup$
          – KeSchn
          55 secs ago




          $begingroup$
          It is not only a notational but also conceptional necessity that you have predictability. In the notation of the answer you have linked, the OP said that the portfolio with payoff $Delta_1S_1+E_1B_1$ needs to be purchasable at time zero, i.e. $Delta_1$ and $E_1$ need to be known at time zero, i.e. $(Delta_t)$ and $(E_t)$ are previsible. Of course, you can change notation but it does not alter the concept that you need to know one period in advance what your position in the stock/bond/etc. is.
          $endgroup$
          – KeSchn
          55 secs ago

















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