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If you draw two cards in consecutively in a standard deck of 52 cards, what is the probability of getting black on the second draw?


Probability of getting two black ballsThe Deck of cards!Probability of cards drawn from a deckConditional Probability Problem (3 Cards, 1 red-red, 1 red-black, 1 black-black)Two Cards are drawn from the standard deck of 52 cards. What is the probability that the ff. occur?What is the amount of draws necessary to see all red cards from a standard deck of 52 cards if you draw 5 cards from the deck?Calculate the probability that the $i$-th draw returns a red ball.What is the probability that when 5 cards are picked out of a standard, 52-card deck, they alternate in color






.everyoneloves__top-leaderboard:empty,.everyoneloves__mid-leaderboard:empty,.everyoneloves__bot-mid-leaderboard:empty margin-bottom:0;








3












$begingroup$


This is my thought process:



$P(2^nd textblack) = P(2^nd textblack mid 1^st textred) P(1^st textred) + P(2^nd textblack mid 1^st textblack) P(1^st textblack) $



$frac2651*frac2652 + frac2551*frac2652 = frac12 $



Is this correct?










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  • 1




    $begingroup$
    Yes you are right.
    $endgroup$
    – Mostafa Ayaz
    9 hours ago

















3












$begingroup$


This is my thought process:



$P(2^nd textblack) = P(2^nd textblack mid 1^st textred) P(1^st textred) + P(2^nd textblack mid 1^st textblack) P(1^st textblack) $



$frac2651*frac2652 + frac2551*frac2652 = frac12 $



Is this correct?










share|cite|improve this question









New contributor



atn is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
Check out our Code of Conduct.






$endgroup$









  • 1




    $begingroup$
    Yes you are right.
    $endgroup$
    – Mostafa Ayaz
    9 hours ago













3












3








3





$begingroup$


This is my thought process:



$P(2^nd textblack) = P(2^nd textblack mid 1^st textred) P(1^st textred) + P(2^nd textblack mid 1^st textblack) P(1^st textblack) $



$frac2651*frac2652 + frac2551*frac2652 = frac12 $



Is this correct?










share|cite|improve this question









New contributor



atn is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
Check out our Code of Conduct.






$endgroup$




This is my thought process:



$P(2^nd textblack) = P(2^nd textblack mid 1^st textred) P(1^st textred) + P(2^nd textblack mid 1^st textblack) P(1^st textblack) $



$frac2651*frac2652 + frac2551*frac2652 = frac12 $



Is this correct?







probability






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share|cite|improve this question









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share|cite|improve this question




share|cite|improve this question








edited 9 hours ago









cmk

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asked 9 hours ago









atnatn

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  • 1




    $begingroup$
    Yes you are right.
    $endgroup$
    – Mostafa Ayaz
    9 hours ago












  • 1




    $begingroup$
    Yes you are right.
    $endgroup$
    – Mostafa Ayaz
    9 hours ago







1




1




$begingroup$
Yes you are right.
$endgroup$
– Mostafa Ayaz
9 hours ago




$begingroup$
Yes you are right.
$endgroup$
– Mostafa Ayaz
9 hours ago










4 Answers
4






active

oldest

votes


















2














$begingroup$

Yes, it is correct.



Sanity check: By symmetry, the likelihood to get a black is equal to the probability og getting a red at any draw position.






share|cite|improve this answer









$endgroup$














  • $begingroup$
    What do you mean by "by symmetry"?
    $endgroup$
    – atn
    9 hours ago










  • $begingroup$
    propotion of black and red are equal. It is like two equally competent player are playing a fair game, they are equally likely to win the game.
    $endgroup$
    – Siong Thye Goh
    9 hours ago


















2














$begingroup$

Yes you are right.



The intuition behind why your answer is symmetrically $1over 2$ is that if you first draw a card and close your eyes over its color (e.g. throw it away), you are in a full ambiguity or lack of information about the color of the second one. Hence the probability is the same.



This is also the same case for any number of color types and drawing the second card.






share|cite|improve this answer









$endgroup$






















    1














    $begingroup$

    The "hard way":



    To get a black card on the second draw you must get either "red, black" or "black, black".



    1) "red, black": There are 52 cards in the deck, 26 or them red. The probability the first card drawn is red is 26/52= 1/2. Given that, there are now 51 cards in the deck, 26 of them black. The probability the second card drawn is black is 26/51. The probability of "red, black" is (1/2)(26/51)= 13/51.



    2) "black, black: There are 52 cards in the deck, 26 or them black. The probability the first card drawn is red is 26/52= 1/2. Given that, there are now 51 cards in the deck, 25 of them black. The probability the second card drawn is black is 25/51. The probability of "red, black" is (1/2)(25/51)= 25/102.



    The probability of either "red, black" or "black, black", since those are mutually exclusive, is 13/51+ 25/102= 26/102+ 25/102= 51/102= 1/2!






    share|cite|improve this answer









    $endgroup$






















      0














      $begingroup$

      You are correct... unless the colour of the first card is known, in which case it would be either:



      $dfrac2551$ if the first card was black, or
      $dfrac2651$ if the first card was red






      share|cite|improve this answer










      New contributor



      spadelives is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
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        Your Answer








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        4 Answers
        4






        active

        oldest

        votes








        4 Answers
        4






        active

        oldest

        votes









        active

        oldest

        votes






        active

        oldest

        votes









        2














        $begingroup$

        Yes, it is correct.



        Sanity check: By symmetry, the likelihood to get a black is equal to the probability og getting a red at any draw position.






        share|cite|improve this answer









        $endgroup$














        • $begingroup$
          What do you mean by "by symmetry"?
          $endgroup$
          – atn
          9 hours ago










        • $begingroup$
          propotion of black and red are equal. It is like two equally competent player are playing a fair game, they are equally likely to win the game.
          $endgroup$
          – Siong Thye Goh
          9 hours ago















        2














        $begingroup$

        Yes, it is correct.



        Sanity check: By symmetry, the likelihood to get a black is equal to the probability og getting a red at any draw position.






        share|cite|improve this answer









        $endgroup$














        • $begingroup$
          What do you mean by "by symmetry"?
          $endgroup$
          – atn
          9 hours ago










        • $begingroup$
          propotion of black and red are equal. It is like two equally competent player are playing a fair game, they are equally likely to win the game.
          $endgroup$
          – Siong Thye Goh
          9 hours ago













        2














        2










        2







        $begingroup$

        Yes, it is correct.



        Sanity check: By symmetry, the likelihood to get a black is equal to the probability og getting a red at any draw position.






        share|cite|improve this answer









        $endgroup$



        Yes, it is correct.



        Sanity check: By symmetry, the likelihood to get a black is equal to the probability og getting a red at any draw position.







        share|cite|improve this answer












        share|cite|improve this answer



        share|cite|improve this answer










        answered 9 hours ago









        Siong Thye GohSiong Thye Goh

        110k15 gold badges71 silver badges125 bronze badges




        110k15 gold badges71 silver badges125 bronze badges














        • $begingroup$
          What do you mean by "by symmetry"?
          $endgroup$
          – atn
          9 hours ago










        • $begingroup$
          propotion of black and red are equal. It is like two equally competent player are playing a fair game, they are equally likely to win the game.
          $endgroup$
          – Siong Thye Goh
          9 hours ago
















        • $begingroup$
          What do you mean by "by symmetry"?
          $endgroup$
          – atn
          9 hours ago










        • $begingroup$
          propotion of black and red are equal. It is like two equally competent player are playing a fair game, they are equally likely to win the game.
          $endgroup$
          – Siong Thye Goh
          9 hours ago















        $begingroup$
        What do you mean by "by symmetry"?
        $endgroup$
        – atn
        9 hours ago




        $begingroup$
        What do you mean by "by symmetry"?
        $endgroup$
        – atn
        9 hours ago












        $begingroup$
        propotion of black and red are equal. It is like two equally competent player are playing a fair game, they are equally likely to win the game.
        $endgroup$
        – Siong Thye Goh
        9 hours ago




        $begingroup$
        propotion of black and red are equal. It is like two equally competent player are playing a fair game, they are equally likely to win the game.
        $endgroup$
        – Siong Thye Goh
        9 hours ago













        2














        $begingroup$

        Yes you are right.



        The intuition behind why your answer is symmetrically $1over 2$ is that if you first draw a card and close your eyes over its color (e.g. throw it away), you are in a full ambiguity or lack of information about the color of the second one. Hence the probability is the same.



        This is also the same case for any number of color types and drawing the second card.






        share|cite|improve this answer









        $endgroup$



















          2














          $begingroup$

          Yes you are right.



          The intuition behind why your answer is symmetrically $1over 2$ is that if you first draw a card and close your eyes over its color (e.g. throw it away), you are in a full ambiguity or lack of information about the color of the second one. Hence the probability is the same.



          This is also the same case for any number of color types and drawing the second card.






          share|cite|improve this answer









          $endgroup$

















            2














            2










            2







            $begingroup$

            Yes you are right.



            The intuition behind why your answer is symmetrically $1over 2$ is that if you first draw a card and close your eyes over its color (e.g. throw it away), you are in a full ambiguity or lack of information about the color of the second one. Hence the probability is the same.



            This is also the same case for any number of color types and drawing the second card.






            share|cite|improve this answer









            $endgroup$



            Yes you are right.



            The intuition behind why your answer is symmetrically $1over 2$ is that if you first draw a card and close your eyes over its color (e.g. throw it away), you are in a full ambiguity or lack of information about the color of the second one. Hence the probability is the same.



            This is also the same case for any number of color types and drawing the second card.







            share|cite|improve this answer












            share|cite|improve this answer



            share|cite|improve this answer










            answered 9 hours ago









            Mostafa AyazMostafa Ayaz

            20.4k3 gold badges11 silver badges46 bronze badges




            20.4k3 gold badges11 silver badges46 bronze badges
























                1














                $begingroup$

                The "hard way":



                To get a black card on the second draw you must get either "red, black" or "black, black".



                1) "red, black": There are 52 cards in the deck, 26 or them red. The probability the first card drawn is red is 26/52= 1/2. Given that, there are now 51 cards in the deck, 26 of them black. The probability the second card drawn is black is 26/51. The probability of "red, black" is (1/2)(26/51)= 13/51.



                2) "black, black: There are 52 cards in the deck, 26 or them black. The probability the first card drawn is red is 26/52= 1/2. Given that, there are now 51 cards in the deck, 25 of them black. The probability the second card drawn is black is 25/51. The probability of "red, black" is (1/2)(25/51)= 25/102.



                The probability of either "red, black" or "black, black", since those are mutually exclusive, is 13/51+ 25/102= 26/102+ 25/102= 51/102= 1/2!






                share|cite|improve this answer









                $endgroup$



















                  1














                  $begingroup$

                  The "hard way":



                  To get a black card on the second draw you must get either "red, black" or "black, black".



                  1) "red, black": There are 52 cards in the deck, 26 or them red. The probability the first card drawn is red is 26/52= 1/2. Given that, there are now 51 cards in the deck, 26 of them black. The probability the second card drawn is black is 26/51. The probability of "red, black" is (1/2)(26/51)= 13/51.



                  2) "black, black: There are 52 cards in the deck, 26 or them black. The probability the first card drawn is red is 26/52= 1/2. Given that, there are now 51 cards in the deck, 25 of them black. The probability the second card drawn is black is 25/51. The probability of "red, black" is (1/2)(25/51)= 25/102.



                  The probability of either "red, black" or "black, black", since those are mutually exclusive, is 13/51+ 25/102= 26/102+ 25/102= 51/102= 1/2!






                  share|cite|improve this answer









                  $endgroup$

















                    1














                    1










                    1







                    $begingroup$

                    The "hard way":



                    To get a black card on the second draw you must get either "red, black" or "black, black".



                    1) "red, black": There are 52 cards in the deck, 26 or them red. The probability the first card drawn is red is 26/52= 1/2. Given that, there are now 51 cards in the deck, 26 of them black. The probability the second card drawn is black is 26/51. The probability of "red, black" is (1/2)(26/51)= 13/51.



                    2) "black, black: There are 52 cards in the deck, 26 or them black. The probability the first card drawn is red is 26/52= 1/2. Given that, there are now 51 cards in the deck, 25 of them black. The probability the second card drawn is black is 25/51. The probability of "red, black" is (1/2)(25/51)= 25/102.



                    The probability of either "red, black" or "black, black", since those are mutually exclusive, is 13/51+ 25/102= 26/102+ 25/102= 51/102= 1/2!






                    share|cite|improve this answer









                    $endgroup$



                    The "hard way":



                    To get a black card on the second draw you must get either "red, black" or "black, black".



                    1) "red, black": There are 52 cards in the deck, 26 or them red. The probability the first card drawn is red is 26/52= 1/2. Given that, there are now 51 cards in the deck, 26 of them black. The probability the second card drawn is black is 26/51. The probability of "red, black" is (1/2)(26/51)= 13/51.



                    2) "black, black: There are 52 cards in the deck, 26 or them black. The probability the first card drawn is red is 26/52= 1/2. Given that, there are now 51 cards in the deck, 25 of them black. The probability the second card drawn is black is 25/51. The probability of "red, black" is (1/2)(25/51)= 25/102.



                    The probability of either "red, black" or "black, black", since those are mutually exclusive, is 13/51+ 25/102= 26/102+ 25/102= 51/102= 1/2!







                    share|cite|improve this answer












                    share|cite|improve this answer



                    share|cite|improve this answer










                    answered 8 hours ago









                    user247327user247327

                    12.7k2 gold badges7 silver badges17 bronze badges




                    12.7k2 gold badges7 silver badges17 bronze badges
























                        0














                        $begingroup$

                        You are correct... unless the colour of the first card is known, in which case it would be either:



                        $dfrac2551$ if the first card was black, or
                        $dfrac2651$ if the first card was red






                        share|cite|improve this answer










                        New contributor



                        spadelives is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
                        Check out our Code of Conduct.





                        $endgroup$



















                          0














                          $begingroup$

                          You are correct... unless the colour of the first card is known, in which case it would be either:



                          $dfrac2551$ if the first card was black, or
                          $dfrac2651$ if the first card was red






                          share|cite|improve this answer










                          New contributor



                          spadelives is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
                          Check out our Code of Conduct.





                          $endgroup$

















                            0














                            0










                            0







                            $begingroup$

                            You are correct... unless the colour of the first card is known, in which case it would be either:



                            $dfrac2551$ if the first card was black, or
                            $dfrac2651$ if the first card was red






                            share|cite|improve this answer










                            New contributor



                            spadelives is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
                            Check out our Code of Conduct.





                            $endgroup$



                            You are correct... unless the colour of the first card is known, in which case it would be either:



                            $dfrac2551$ if the first card was black, or
                            $dfrac2651$ if the first card was red







                            share|cite|improve this answer










                            New contributor



                            spadelives is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
                            Check out our Code of Conduct.








                            share|cite|improve this answer



                            share|cite|improve this answer








                            edited 7 mins ago









                            Lee David Chung Lin

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                            answered 11 mins ago









                            spadelivesspadelives

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