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Help with one interview question --expected length of numbers drawn


Brain-teaser: What is the expected length of an iid sequence that is monotonically increasing when drawn from a uniform [0,1] distribution?Expected numbers of distinct colors when drawing without replacementProbability of randomly drawing all numbers from a setSampling with a random sample sizeSampling with Replacement QuestionProbability of picking some balls before other ballsSampling without Replacement and Non-uniform DistributionGiven a set of binary samples out of a given population, how to calculate the probability that the true ratio of one value is greater than ZThe expected number of unique elements drawn with replacementBrain-teaser: What is the expected length of an iid sequence that is monotonically increasing when drawn from a uniform [0,1] distribution?Probability of the sum of cards?






.everyoneloves__top-leaderboard:empty,.everyoneloves__mid-leaderboard:empty,.everyoneloves__bot-mid-leaderboard:empty margin-bottom:0;








1












$begingroup$


Random draw number from 1 to N without replacement and x(n) is the nth numbers you draw. continue drawing number if x(n)>x(n-1) and stop if x(n)










share|cite|improve this question







New contributor



Vickyfish is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
Check out our Code of Conduct.






$endgroup$











  • $begingroup$
    from what distribution?
    $endgroup$
    – user158565
    9 hours ago






  • 1




    $begingroup$
    The distribution is the uniform(1,N). However, the question is not fully stated. Do you mean "... and stop if $x(n) < x(n-1)$?
    $endgroup$
    – Semoi
    9 hours ago










  • $begingroup$
    Possible duplicate of Brain-teaser: What is the expected length of an iid sequence that is monotonically increasing when drawn from a uniform [0,1] distribution?
    $endgroup$
    – Ben
    2 hours ago

















1












$begingroup$


Random draw number from 1 to N without replacement and x(n) is the nth numbers you draw. continue drawing number if x(n)>x(n-1) and stop if x(n)










share|cite|improve this question







New contributor



Vickyfish is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
Check out our Code of Conduct.






$endgroup$











  • $begingroup$
    from what distribution?
    $endgroup$
    – user158565
    9 hours ago






  • 1




    $begingroup$
    The distribution is the uniform(1,N). However, the question is not fully stated. Do you mean "... and stop if $x(n) < x(n-1)$?
    $endgroup$
    – Semoi
    9 hours ago










  • $begingroup$
    Possible duplicate of Brain-teaser: What is the expected length of an iid sequence that is monotonically increasing when drawn from a uniform [0,1] distribution?
    $endgroup$
    – Ben
    2 hours ago













1












1








1





$begingroup$


Random draw number from 1 to N without replacement and x(n) is the nth numbers you draw. continue drawing number if x(n)>x(n-1) and stop if x(n)










share|cite|improve this question







New contributor



Vickyfish is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
Check out our Code of Conduct.






$endgroup$




Random draw number from 1 to N without replacement and x(n) is the nth numbers you draw. continue drawing number if x(n)>x(n-1) and stop if x(n)







probability






share|cite|improve this question







New contributor



Vickyfish is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
Check out our Code of Conduct.










share|cite|improve this question







New contributor



Vickyfish is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
Check out our Code of Conduct.








share|cite|improve this question




share|cite|improve this question






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asked 9 hours ago









VickyfishVickyfish

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New contributor



Vickyfish is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
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New contributor




Vickyfish is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
Check out our Code of Conduct.













  • $begingroup$
    from what distribution?
    $endgroup$
    – user158565
    9 hours ago






  • 1




    $begingroup$
    The distribution is the uniform(1,N). However, the question is not fully stated. Do you mean "... and stop if $x(n) < x(n-1)$?
    $endgroup$
    – Semoi
    9 hours ago










  • $begingroup$
    Possible duplicate of Brain-teaser: What is the expected length of an iid sequence that is monotonically increasing when drawn from a uniform [0,1] distribution?
    $endgroup$
    – Ben
    2 hours ago
















  • $begingroup$
    from what distribution?
    $endgroup$
    – user158565
    9 hours ago






  • 1




    $begingroup$
    The distribution is the uniform(1,N). However, the question is not fully stated. Do you mean "... and stop if $x(n) < x(n-1)$?
    $endgroup$
    – Semoi
    9 hours ago










  • $begingroup$
    Possible duplicate of Brain-teaser: What is the expected length of an iid sequence that is monotonically increasing when drawn from a uniform [0,1] distribution?
    $endgroup$
    – Ben
    2 hours ago















$begingroup$
from what distribution?
$endgroup$
– user158565
9 hours ago




$begingroup$
from what distribution?
$endgroup$
– user158565
9 hours ago




1




1




$begingroup$
The distribution is the uniform(1,N). However, the question is not fully stated. Do you mean "... and stop if $x(n) < x(n-1)$?
$endgroup$
– Semoi
9 hours ago




$begingroup$
The distribution is the uniform(1,N). However, the question is not fully stated. Do you mean "... and stop if $x(n) < x(n-1)$?
$endgroup$
– Semoi
9 hours ago












$begingroup$
Possible duplicate of Brain-teaser: What is the expected length of an iid sequence that is monotonically increasing when drawn from a uniform [0,1] distribution?
$endgroup$
– Ben
2 hours ago




$begingroup$
Possible duplicate of Brain-teaser: What is the expected length of an iid sequence that is monotonically increasing when drawn from a uniform [0,1] distribution?
$endgroup$
– Ben
2 hours ago










1 Answer
1






active

oldest

votes


















3












$begingroup$

I'm assuming that we're uniformly drawing numbers (without replacement), and stop when we explicitly see that the currently drawn number is smaller than the previously drawn number. That means, if we draw $N$ first, we still draw another number and see if it is smaller than $N$, which is going to happen for sure. With this setup, it's certain that we'll draw numbers at least $2$ times. This way, the problem has a beautiful answer, however the OP should still clarify the question to help other readers who can benefit.



Let $X$ be the number of draws in this experiment. Since $X$ is nonnegative and integer we can express the expected value as $$E[X]=sum_k=0^N-1 P(X>k)$$
Here, $P(X>k)=frac1k!$ because for number of draws to be bigger than $k$, the first $k$ draws must be sorted, which happens with $frac1k!$ probability no matter what $N$ is. Expanding the sum yields:
$$E[X]=1+1+frac12!+frac13!+cdots+frac1(N-1)!$$



Notice that this converges to $e$ as $Nrightarrowinfty$






share|cite|improve this answer











$endgroup$












  • $begingroup$
    The question says to keep drawing if the current number is larger (while you say to stop in that case) -- you may want to correct your statement in the first sentence.
    $endgroup$
    – Glen_b
    5 hours ago











  • $begingroup$
    Thanks @Glen_b ,I had flipped the question before solving since it has the same answer, bur forgot to rephrase it back.
    $endgroup$
    – gunes
    1 hour ago













Your Answer








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1 Answer
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active

oldest

votes








1 Answer
1






active

oldest

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active

oldest

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active

oldest

votes









3












$begingroup$

I'm assuming that we're uniformly drawing numbers (without replacement), and stop when we explicitly see that the currently drawn number is smaller than the previously drawn number. That means, if we draw $N$ first, we still draw another number and see if it is smaller than $N$, which is going to happen for sure. With this setup, it's certain that we'll draw numbers at least $2$ times. This way, the problem has a beautiful answer, however the OP should still clarify the question to help other readers who can benefit.



Let $X$ be the number of draws in this experiment. Since $X$ is nonnegative and integer we can express the expected value as $$E[X]=sum_k=0^N-1 P(X>k)$$
Here, $P(X>k)=frac1k!$ because for number of draws to be bigger than $k$, the first $k$ draws must be sorted, which happens with $frac1k!$ probability no matter what $N$ is. Expanding the sum yields:
$$E[X]=1+1+frac12!+frac13!+cdots+frac1(N-1)!$$



Notice that this converges to $e$ as $Nrightarrowinfty$






share|cite|improve this answer











$endgroup$












  • $begingroup$
    The question says to keep drawing if the current number is larger (while you say to stop in that case) -- you may want to correct your statement in the first sentence.
    $endgroup$
    – Glen_b
    5 hours ago











  • $begingroup$
    Thanks @Glen_b ,I had flipped the question before solving since it has the same answer, bur forgot to rephrase it back.
    $endgroup$
    – gunes
    1 hour ago















3












$begingroup$

I'm assuming that we're uniformly drawing numbers (without replacement), and stop when we explicitly see that the currently drawn number is smaller than the previously drawn number. That means, if we draw $N$ first, we still draw another number and see if it is smaller than $N$, which is going to happen for sure. With this setup, it's certain that we'll draw numbers at least $2$ times. This way, the problem has a beautiful answer, however the OP should still clarify the question to help other readers who can benefit.



Let $X$ be the number of draws in this experiment. Since $X$ is nonnegative and integer we can express the expected value as $$E[X]=sum_k=0^N-1 P(X>k)$$
Here, $P(X>k)=frac1k!$ because for number of draws to be bigger than $k$, the first $k$ draws must be sorted, which happens with $frac1k!$ probability no matter what $N$ is. Expanding the sum yields:
$$E[X]=1+1+frac12!+frac13!+cdots+frac1(N-1)!$$



Notice that this converges to $e$ as $Nrightarrowinfty$






share|cite|improve this answer











$endgroup$












  • $begingroup$
    The question says to keep drawing if the current number is larger (while you say to stop in that case) -- you may want to correct your statement in the first sentence.
    $endgroup$
    – Glen_b
    5 hours ago











  • $begingroup$
    Thanks @Glen_b ,I had flipped the question before solving since it has the same answer, bur forgot to rephrase it back.
    $endgroup$
    – gunes
    1 hour ago













3












3








3





$begingroup$

I'm assuming that we're uniformly drawing numbers (without replacement), and stop when we explicitly see that the currently drawn number is smaller than the previously drawn number. That means, if we draw $N$ first, we still draw another number and see if it is smaller than $N$, which is going to happen for sure. With this setup, it's certain that we'll draw numbers at least $2$ times. This way, the problem has a beautiful answer, however the OP should still clarify the question to help other readers who can benefit.



Let $X$ be the number of draws in this experiment. Since $X$ is nonnegative and integer we can express the expected value as $$E[X]=sum_k=0^N-1 P(X>k)$$
Here, $P(X>k)=frac1k!$ because for number of draws to be bigger than $k$, the first $k$ draws must be sorted, which happens with $frac1k!$ probability no matter what $N$ is. Expanding the sum yields:
$$E[X]=1+1+frac12!+frac13!+cdots+frac1(N-1)!$$



Notice that this converges to $e$ as $Nrightarrowinfty$






share|cite|improve this answer











$endgroup$



I'm assuming that we're uniformly drawing numbers (without replacement), and stop when we explicitly see that the currently drawn number is smaller than the previously drawn number. That means, if we draw $N$ first, we still draw another number and see if it is smaller than $N$, which is going to happen for sure. With this setup, it's certain that we'll draw numbers at least $2$ times. This way, the problem has a beautiful answer, however the OP should still clarify the question to help other readers who can benefit.



Let $X$ be the number of draws in this experiment. Since $X$ is nonnegative and integer we can express the expected value as $$E[X]=sum_k=0^N-1 P(X>k)$$
Here, $P(X>k)=frac1k!$ because for number of draws to be bigger than $k$, the first $k$ draws must be sorted, which happens with $frac1k!$ probability no matter what $N$ is. Expanding the sum yields:
$$E[X]=1+1+frac12!+frac13!+cdots+frac1(N-1)!$$



Notice that this converges to $e$ as $Nrightarrowinfty$







share|cite|improve this answer














share|cite|improve this answer



share|cite|improve this answer








edited 1 hour ago









Michael Hardy

4,73415 silver badges30 bronze badges




4,73415 silver badges30 bronze badges










answered 7 hours ago









gunesgunes

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12.2k1 gold badge5 silver badges22 bronze badges











  • $begingroup$
    The question says to keep drawing if the current number is larger (while you say to stop in that case) -- you may want to correct your statement in the first sentence.
    $endgroup$
    – Glen_b
    5 hours ago











  • $begingroup$
    Thanks @Glen_b ,I had flipped the question before solving since it has the same answer, bur forgot to rephrase it back.
    $endgroup$
    – gunes
    1 hour ago
















  • $begingroup$
    The question says to keep drawing if the current number is larger (while you say to stop in that case) -- you may want to correct your statement in the first sentence.
    $endgroup$
    – Glen_b
    5 hours ago











  • $begingroup$
    Thanks @Glen_b ,I had flipped the question before solving since it has the same answer, bur forgot to rephrase it back.
    $endgroup$
    – gunes
    1 hour ago















$begingroup$
The question says to keep drawing if the current number is larger (while you say to stop in that case) -- you may want to correct your statement in the first sentence.
$endgroup$
– Glen_b
5 hours ago





$begingroup$
The question says to keep drawing if the current number is larger (while you say to stop in that case) -- you may want to correct your statement in the first sentence.
$endgroup$
– Glen_b
5 hours ago













$begingroup$
Thanks @Glen_b ,I had flipped the question before solving since it has the same answer, bur forgot to rephrase it back.
$endgroup$
– gunes
1 hour ago




$begingroup$
Thanks @Glen_b ,I had flipped the question before solving since it has the same answer, bur forgot to rephrase it back.
$endgroup$
– gunes
1 hour ago










Vickyfish is a new contributor. Be nice, and check out our Code of Conduct.









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Vickyfish is a new contributor. Be nice, and check out our Code of Conduct.











Vickyfish is a new contributor. Be nice, and check out our Code of Conduct.














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